PORTUGAL - LIGA PORTUGAL 3
15:00Sat 24 Oct
CDM
CM
Caldas SC vs CD Mafra
CLASS E
THE READ
Match details. Liga Portugal 3. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
Form. Caldas SC have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L L. CD Mafra have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D L W.
The numbers. Caldas SC score 1.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Caldas SC average 7.2 shots (2.1 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.3 cards a game. CD Mafra score 1.2 and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. CD Mafra average 14.9 shots (6.1 on target), 7.1 corners and 3.2 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: CD Mafra or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); CD Mafra or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 1.5 Cards (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Caldas SC 1-1 CD Mafra (13% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CAL 8 of 9 (89%) · CDM 7 of 7 (100%)95.1%
Caldas SC: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Mafra: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Caldas SC: only games against sides at CD Mafra's level · CD Mafra: only games against sides at Caldas SC's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CAL 8 of 9 (89%) · CDM 7 of 7 (100%)91.9%
Caldas SC: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Mafra: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Caldas SC: only games against sides at CD Mafra's level · CD Mafra: only games against sides at Caldas SC's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CAL 7 of 9 (78%) · CDM 6 of 7 (86%)87.7%
Caldas SC: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Mafra: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · Caldas SC: only games against sides at CD Mafra's level · CD Mafra: only games against sides at Caldas SC's level
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.34
CAL 6 of 9 (67%) · CDM 6 of 7 (86%)73.9%
Caldas SC: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Mafra: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · Caldas SC: only games against sides at CD Mafra's level · CD Mafra: only games against sides at Caldas SC's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.80
CAL 4 of 9 (44%) · CDM 5 of 7 (71%)53%
Caldas SC: both scored in 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Mafra: both scored in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 58% · Caldas SC: only games against sides at CD Mafra's level · CD Mafra: only games against sides at Caldas SC's level
CALDAS SC GOALS
Caldas SC Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.43
CAL 6 of 9 (67%) · CDM 5 of 7 (71%)76.5%
Caldas SC scored in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Mafra conceded in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · Caldas SC: only games against sides at CD Mafra's level · CD Mafra: only games against sides at Caldas SC's level
CD MAFRA GOALS
CD Mafra Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CAL 7 of 7 (100%) · CDM 6 of 9 (67%)68.4%
CD Mafra scored in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Caldas SC conceded in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · CD Mafra: only games against sides at Caldas SC's level · Caldas SC: only games against sides at CD Mafra's level
HALVES
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.43
CAL 7 of 9 (78%) · CDM 5 of 7 (71%)74.6%
Caldas SC: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Mafra: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores · Caldas SC: only games against sides at CD Mafra's level · CD Mafra: only games against sides at Caldas SC's level
CORNERS
Over 6.5 CornersPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CAL 6 of 9 (67%) · CDM 6 of 7 (86%)76.2%
Caldas SC's games: over 6.5 corners in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Mafra's games: over 6.5 corners in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · Caldas SC: only games against sides at CD Mafra's level · CD Mafra: only games against sides at Caldas SC's level
Left off the list: CD Mafra or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); CD Mafra or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 1.5 Cards (the numbers (96%) and the records (75%) are 21 points apart, and nothing settles it); CD Mafra or Draw (1UP) (no result call); CD Mafra or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.1%
Caldas SC goals →
CD Mafra goals ↓
0-08%
1-010%
2-08%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.9%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31.0%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.5%
1-40.8%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).
FORM · LAST 10
CALDAS SCLDLLDLLWWL0.80 PPG
CD MAFRALWDLDWLDDD1.10 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CALDAS SC HOMExCD MAFRA AWAY
0.90SCORED A GAME1.701.70CONCEDED A GAME1.5030%CLEAN SHEETS20%4.20CORNERS A GAME7.102.30CARDS A GAME3.20
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
649 OF 684
NO PRICE YET
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.17POINTS A GAME1.00-0.50GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.20–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.06LEAGUE GAMES5
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
65%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
46%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
88%
OKAY · 85/90
CALDAS SC OR DRAW
83%
OKAY · 80/85
CD MAFRA OR DRAW
51%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CALDAS SCxCD MAFRA
5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME1.201.60CONCEDED A GAME1.402.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.660%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%40%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Caldas SC have scored in 70% of their games.
CD Mafra have scored in 100% of their games.
Caldas SC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
CD Mafra kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards