Marupes SC vs FK Beitar / Riga Mariners
Match details. 1.Liga. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
Form. Marupes SC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W L. FK Beitar / Riga Mariners have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L W.
The numbers. Marupes SC score 1.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Marupes SC average 5.6 corners and 2.3 cards a game. FK Beitar / Riga Mariners score 2.2 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. FK Beitar / Riga Mariners average 6.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
The case against. Marupes SC's record still gives them 37% to win.
The read. FK Beitar / Riga Mariners to win. An open game. FK Beitar / Riga Mariners are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FK Beitar / Riga Mariners. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 72%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Marupes SC 1-2 FK Beitar / Riga Mariners (8% chance).
The agreed story. FK Beitar / Riga Mariners or the draw, an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).