Match details. Derde Divisie. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time.
Form. VVSB Noordwijkerhout have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L W. VV Zwaluwen Vlaardingen have won six, drawn none and lost four of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W L.
The numbers. VVSB Noordwijkerhout score 1.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. VV Zwaluwen Vlaardingen score 2.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. VV Zwaluwen Vlaardingen average 11.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 41% against the records' 62%.
The read. No firm call: VV Zwaluwen Vlaardingen are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make VV Zwaluwen Vlaardingen the likelier winners; VV Zwaluwen Vlaardingen are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour VV Zwaluwen Vlaardingen. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); VVSB Noordwijkerhout Under 1.5 goals (VVSB Noordwijkerhout's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: VVSB Noordwijkerhout 1-2 VV Zwaluwen Vlaardingen (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).