Match details. Liga 3. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
Form. CSO Plopeni have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W L. FC Petrolul Berca have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L W.
The numbers. CSO Plopeni score 0.7 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. CSO Plopeni average 5.7 shots (0.3 on target), 2.7 corners and 1.3 cards a game. FC Petrolul Berca score 2.6 and concede 2.5 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. FC Petrolul Berca average 13.0 shots (6.6 on target), 4.8 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
The case against. CSO Plopeni's record still gives them 36% to win.
The read. FC Petrolul Berca to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make FC Petrolul Berca the likelier winners; FC Petrolul Berca are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: FC Petrolul Berca Over 0.5 Goals (CSO Plopeni's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); FC Petrolul Berca Over 1.5 Goals (CSO Plopeni's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: CSO Plopeni 1-2 FC Petrolul Berca (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).