Match details. Liga 3. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
Form. AS Usv Iasi have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W W. CS Aerostar Bacau have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W L.
The numbers. AS Usv Iasi score 1.3 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. AS Usv Iasi average 13.4 shots (5.7 on target), 6.0 corners and 1.6 cards a game. CS Aerostar Bacau score 0.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. CS Aerostar Bacau average 3.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 49% against the records' 70%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%.
The read. No firm call: AS Usv Iasi are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make AS Usv Iasi the likelier winners; AS Usv Iasi are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AS Usv Iasi.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: AS Usv Iasi 1-0 CS Aerostar Bacau (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).