UCAM Murcia II vs Alcantarilla FC
Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 13. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 11:30 Lagos time.
Form. UCAM Murcia II have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten league games, 1.4 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W L D D W. Alcantarilla FC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten league games, 1.2 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L D W W D.
The numbers. UCAM Murcia II score 2.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. UCAM Murcia II average 9.6 shots (5.6 on target), 4.1 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Alcantarilla FC score 0.4 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Alcantarilla FC average 7.8 shots (3.8 on target), 2.4 corners and 3.2 cards a game.
The read. UCAM Murcia II to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make UCAM Murcia II the likelier winners; UCAM Murcia II are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour UCAM Murcia II. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.24, rated 88% (UCAM Murcia II: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Alcantarilla FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Predicted score: UCAM Murcia II 2-1 Alcantarilla FC (10% chance).
The agreed story. UCAM Murcia II or the draw, an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).