FC Porto vs Vitoria SC
Match details. Campeonato Nacional, Women. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time.
Form. FC Porto have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D W L. Vitoria SC have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L D.
The numbers. FC Porto score two and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. FC Porto average 11.5 shots (4.0 on target), 4.7 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Vitoria SC score 0.4 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Vitoria SC average 10.2 shots (2.9 on target), 3.4 corners and 1.5 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 77% against the records' 49%.
The read. No firm call: FC Porto are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make FC Porto the likelier winners; FC Porto are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Porto. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 21%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.36, 81% on the records (FC Porto: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; Vitoria SC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Predicted score: FC Porto 1-0 Vitoria SC (15% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).