Atletico Santa Cruz vs CA Pulpileno
Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 13. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 10:30 Lagos time.
Form. Atletico Santa Cruz have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten league games, 1.8 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W D D D W. CA Pulpileno have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten league games, 1.3 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L W D D.
The numbers. Atletico Santa Cruz score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Atletico Santa Cruz average 9.0 shots (3.9 on target), 4.1 corners and 2.2 cards a game. CA Pulpileno score one and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and four games without a goal. CA Pulpileno average 10.0 shots (3.9 on target), 4.2 corners and 3.7 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.20, rated 87% (Atletico Santa Cruz: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; CA Pulpileno: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10). Predicted score: Atletico Santa Cruz 1-1 CA Pulpileno (14% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Atletico Santa Cruz the favourite), a tight game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).