Match details. Torneo Federal A, Round of 16. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 02:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena, Salta.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Juventud Antoniana have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L. CA Sol de America de Formosa have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L W D.
The numbers. Juventud Antoniana score 0.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Juventud Antoniana average 10.0 shots (4.1 on target), 5.3 corners and 2.7 cards a game. CA Sol de America de Formosa score 0.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. CA Sol de America de Formosa average 2.9 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 17% against the records' 45%.
The read. No firm call: CA Sol de America de Formosa are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. CA Sol de America de Formosa are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CA Sol de America de Formosa. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.18, 76% on the records (Juventud Antoniana: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; CA Sol de America de Formosa: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: 1st Half - GG/NG: No at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); CA Sol de America de Formosa Over 0.5 goals (CA Sol de America de Formosa's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Juventud Antoniana 1-1 CA Sol de America de Formosa (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).