THE READ
Match details. Scottish Cup, Round of 128. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. University of Stirling have won two, drawn none and lost eight of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L. In this competition University of Stirling have gone W. Elgin City FC have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W W.
The numbers. University of Stirling score one and concede two a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Elgin City FC score 2.1 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. Elgin City FC average 0.0 cards a game.
The case against. University of Stirling's record still gives them 30% to win.
The read. Elgin City FC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Elgin City FC the likelier winners; Elgin City FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Elgin City FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: University of Stirling 1-2 Elgin City FC (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Elgin City FC or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UNI 8 of 10 (80%) · ELG 4 of 5 (80%)82.5%
Elgin City FC: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · University of Stirling: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80%
Elgin City FC or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.09
UNI 7 of 10 (70%) · ELG 4 of 5 (80%)78.1%
Elgin City FC: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · University of Stirling: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 75%
GOALS
no price yet
UNI 5 of 5 (100%) · ELG 9 of 10 (90%)95.6%
University of Stirling: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Elgin City FC: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95%
Over 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UNI 3 of 5 (60%) · ELG 7 of 10 (70%)64.6%
University of Stirling: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Elgin City FC: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70%
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.36
UNI 3 of 5 (60%) · ELG 6 of 10 (60%)54%
University of Stirling: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Elgin City FC: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65%
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.70
UNI 3 of 5 (60%) · ELG 4 of 10 (40%)45.2%
University of Stirling: both scored in 3 of 5 at home · Elgin City FC: both scored in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 55%
UNIVERSITY OF STIRLING GOALS
University of Stirling Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.21
UNI 4 of 5 (80%) · ELG 6 of 10 (60%)70.9%
University of Stirling scored under 1.5 in 4 of 5 at home · Elgin City FC conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60%
University of Stirling Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.64
UNI 4 of 5 (80%) · ELG 6 of 10 (60%)62.7%
University of Stirling scored in 4 of 5 at home · Elgin City FC conceded in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%
ELGIN CITY FC GOALS
Elgin City FC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UNI 7 of 10 (70%) · ELG 4 of 5 (80%)78.1%
Elgin City FC scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · University of Stirling conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 75%
HALVES
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.17
UNI 4 of 5 (80%) · ELG 9 of 10 (90%)86.7%
University of Stirling: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Elgin City FC: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores
Left off the list: Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
THE NUMBERS
UNIVERSITY OF STIRLING HOMExELGIN CITY FC AWAY
1.30SCORED A GAME2.102.60CONCEDED A GAME1.3030%CLEAN SHEETS40%27%FAILED TO SCORE18%
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
DRAW OR ELGIN CITY FC (1UP)
–
137 OF 146
NO PRICE YET
The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
TRENDS
University of Stirling have scored in 60% of their games.
Elgin City FC have scored in 70% of their games.
University of Stirling kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Elgin City FC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.