ECEDI

15:00Sat 24 Oct

KEL

Edinburgh City FC vs Kelty Hearts FC

CLASS D

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Scottish Cup, Round of 128. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Edinburgh City FC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D L. Kelty Hearts FC have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W W.

The numbers. Edinburgh City FC score two and concede 2.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Edinburgh City FC average 0.0 cards a game. Kelty Hearts FC score 1.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Kelty Hearts FC average 0.0 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Edinburgh City FC have won four, drawn one and lost five. Eight of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, Edinburgh City FC won one and Kelty Hearts FC won three. The last time they met, on 19 Sep 2026, it finished Edinburgh City FC 3-1 Kelty Hearts FC.

The case against. A knockout game (Round of 128) with penalties if level, and Kelty Hearts FC are not clearly stronger. Edinburgh City FC's record still gives them 35% to win.

The read. Kelty Hearts FC or the draw. An open game. Kelty Hearts FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Kelty Hearts FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 81%. Eight of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Edinburgh City FC or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Kelty Hearts FC); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Edinburgh City FC or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs Kelty Hearts FC). Predicted score: Edinburgh City FC 1-2 Kelty Hearts FC (8% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Kelty Hearts FC or Over 1.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

no price yet

EDI 6 of 6 (100%) · KEL 4 of 6 (67%)89.1%

Kelty Hearts FC: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Edinburgh City FC: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 6 of 6 · Kelty Hearts FC: only games against sides at Edinburgh City FC's level · Edinburgh City FC: only games against sides at Kelty Hearts FC's level · the call is Kelty Hearts FC or the draw: a knockout game (Round of 128) with penalties

Kelty Hearts FC or Over 2.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

1.34

EDI 6 of 6 (100%) · KEL 4 of 6 (67%)82.8%

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.17

EDI 4 of 6 (67%) · KEL 6 of 6 (100%)89.1%

Edinburgh City FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Kelty Hearts FC: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 6 of 6 · Edinburgh City FC: only games against sides at Kelty Hearts FC's level · Kelty Hearts FC: only games against sides at Edinburgh City FC's level

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

EDI 4 of 6 (67%) · KEL 6 of 6 (100%)89.1%

Edinburgh City FC: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Kelty Hearts FC: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 6 of 6 · Edinburgh City FC: only games against sides at Kelty Hearts FC's level · Kelty Hearts FC: only games against sides at Edinburgh City FC's level

KELTY HEARTS FC GOALS

Kelty Hearts FC Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.23

EDI 6 of 6 (100%) · KEL 4 of 6 (67%)82.8%

Kelty Hearts FC scored in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Edinburgh City FC conceded in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 6 of 6 · Kelty Hearts FC: only games against sides at Edinburgh City FC's level · Edinburgh City FC: only games against sides at Kelty Hearts FC's level

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.30

EDI 4 of 6 (67%) · KEL 6 of 6 (100%)87.5%

Edinburgh City FC: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Kelty Hearts FC: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores · Edinburgh City FC: only games against sides at Kelty Hearts FC's level · Kelty Hearts FC: only games against sides at Edinburgh City FC's level

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.17

EDI 4 of 6 (67%) · KEL 6 of 6 (100%)87.5%

Left off the list: Edinburgh City FC or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Kelty Hearts FC); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Edinburgh City FC or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs Kelty Hearts FC); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 8.3%

Edinburgh City FC goals →

Kelty Hearts FC goals ↓

0-03%

1-04%

2-04%

3-02%

4-01.0%

5-00.3%

0-15%

1-19%

2-18%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.6%

0-25%

1-28%

2-27%

3-24%

4-22%

5-20.6%

0-33%

1-35%

2-34%

3-33%

4-31%

5-30.4%

0-41%

1-42%

2-42%

3-41%

4-40.5%

5-40.2%

0-50.5%

1-50.9%

2-50.8%

3-50.5%

4-50.2%

5-50.1%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

EDINBURGH CITY FCLDWWWLDLLD1.20 PPG

KELTY HEARTS FCWWLLLWWLLW1.50 PPG

THE NUMBERS

EDINBURGH CITY FC HOMExKELTY HEARTS FC AWAY

1.50SCORED A GAME1.801.80CONCEDED A GAME1.9030%CLEAN SHEETS20%27%FAILED TO SCORE18%0.00CORNERS A GAME0.000.00CARDS A GAME0.00

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.45POINTS A GAME1.36+0.18GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.45–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.211LEAGUE GAMES11

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

84%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

63%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

78%

NO · 85/90

EDINBURGH CITY FC OR DRAW

73%

NO · 80/85

KELTY HEARTS FC OR DRAW

35%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

EDINBURGH CITY FCxKELTY HEARTS FC

5GAMES62.00SCORED A GAME0.832.40CONCEDED A GAME2.174.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.080%OVER 1.5 GOALS83%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS50%60%BOTH SCORE50%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

EDINBURGH CITY FC 4 · 40%DRAW 1KELTY HEARTS FC 5 · 50%

7 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

10 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

8 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

6 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2022-07-30Edinburgh City FC 2 – 0 Kelty Hearts FC

2022-10-08Edinburgh City FC 2 – 0 Kelty Hearts FC

2023-03-04Edinburgh City FC 2 – 1 Kelty Hearts FC

2023-04-22Edinburgh City FC 2 – 2 Kelty Hearts FC

2023-07-19Edinburgh City FC 3 – 5 Kelty Hearts FC

2023-10-07Edinburgh City FC 1 – 4 Kelty Hearts FC

2024-02-03Edinburgh City FC 0 – 3 Kelty Hearts FC

2024-02-13Edinburgh City FC 2 – 3 Kelty Hearts FC

TRENDS

Edinburgh City FC have scored in 60% of their games.

Kelty Hearts FC have scored in 100% of their games.

Edinburgh City FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Kelty Hearts FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headcornerscards