Dumbarton FC vs Keith FC
Match details. Scottish Cup, Round of 128. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Dumbarton FC have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W W. Keith FC have won six, drawn none and lost four of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W L. In this competition Keith FC have gone W.
The numbers. Dumbarton FC score 2.3 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. Dumbarton FC average 0.0 cards a game. Keith FC score 2.1 and concede 2.2 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Dumbarton FC the likelier winners, but Keith FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Dumbarton FC.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 78%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Dumbarton FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Keith FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Dumbarton FC 2-1 Keith FC (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).