BTBON

15:00Sat 24 Oct

CLA

Bonnyton Thistle vs Clachnacuddin FC

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. Scottish Cup, Round of 128. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Bonnyton Thistle have won one, drawn none and lost four of their last five, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L. Clachnacuddin FC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W W. In this competition Clachnacuddin FC have gone W.

The numbers. Bonnyton Thistle score 0.8 and concede 2.4 a game over their last five, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Clachnacuddin FC score 1.4 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Clachnacuddin FC average 0.0 cards a game.

The case against. A knockout game (Round of 128) with penalties if level, and Clachnacuddin FC are not clearly stronger. Bonnyton Thistle's record still gives them 37% to win.

The read. Clachnacuddin FC or the draw. An open game. Clachnacuddin FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Clachnacuddin FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Bonnyton Thistle Under 1.5 goals (Clachnacuddin FC's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Bonnyton Thistle 1-2 Clachnacuddin FC (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Clachnacuddin FC or Over 1.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BON 4 of 5 (80%) · CLA 5 of 5 (100%)86.5%

Clachnacuddin FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · Bonnyton Thistle: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · the call is Clachnacuddin FC or the draw: a knockout game (Round of 128) with penalties if level, and Clachnacuddin FC are not clearly stronger (rule 8)

Clachnacuddin FC win or both teams scoreTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

1.13

BON 3 of 5 (60%) · CLA 4 of 5 (80%)70.4%

Clachnacuddin FC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · Bonnyton Thistle: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · the call is Clachnacuddin FC or the draw: a knockout game (Round of 128) with penalties if level, and Clachnacuddin FC are not clearly stronger (rule 8)

Clachnacuddin FC or Over 2.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

1.22

BON 4 of 5 (80%) · CLA 4 of 5 (80%)70%

Clachnacuddin FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · Bonnyton Thistle: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · the call is Clachnacuddin FC or the draw: a knockout game (Round of 128) with penalties if level, and Clachnacuddin FC are not clearly stronger (rule 8)

Clachnacuddin FC (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY

1.60

BON 3 of 7 (43%) · CLA 4 of 5 (80%)61.4%

Clachnacuddin FC won 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Bonnyton Thistle lost 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 61% · won 2, refunded 1, lost 4

Clachnacuddin FC or draw and over 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.53

BON 3 of 5 (60%) · CLA 2 of 5 (40%)52.9%

Bonnyton Thistle: the bet landed in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Clachnacuddin FC: the bet landed in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 60%

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BON 5 of 5 (100%) · CLA 5 of 5 (100%)100%

Bonnyton Thistle: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Clachnacuddin FC: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100%

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BON 4 of 5 (80%) · CLA 4 of 5 (80%)77.7%

Bonnyton Thistle: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Clachnacuddin FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85%

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.45

BON 2 of 5 (40%) · CLA 4 of 5 (80%)51%

Bonnyton Thistle: over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Clachnacuddin FC: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 55%

CLACHNACUDDIN FC GOALS

Clachnacuddin FC Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.14

BON 3 of 5 (60%) · CLA 4 of 5 (80%)70.4%

Clachnacuddin FC scored in 3 of 5 away · Bonnyton Thistle conceded in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Bonnyton Thistle Under 1.5 goals (Clachnacuddin FC's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Clachnacuddin FC to Win (the numbers (44%) and the records (52%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Clachnacuddin FC Over 1.5 goals (Clachnacuddin FC's own games don't back it (2 of 5))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 9%

Bonnyton Thistle goals →

Clachnacuddin FC goals ↓

0-04%

1-05%

2-04%

3-02%

4-00.8%

5-00.2%

0-16%

1-111%

2-17%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-26%

1-29%

2-27%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.4%

0-34%

1-35%

2-34%

3-32%

4-30.7%

5-30.2%

0-42%

1-42%

2-42%

3-40.9%

4-40.3%

5-40.1%

0-50.6%

1-50.8%

2-50.6%

3-50.3%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

BONNYTON THISTLELLLLW0.60 PPG

CLACHNACUDDIN FCDLDLDWWWLL1.20 PPG

THE NUMBERS

BONNYTON THISTLE HOMExCLACHNACUDDIN FC AWAY

0.80SCORED A GAME1.702.40CONCEDED A GAME2.1020%CLEAN SHEETS30%

TRENDS

Clachnacuddin FC have scored in 90% of their games.

Clachnacuddin FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Clachnacuddin FC failed to score in 21% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheets