Boness United vs Forfar Athletic FC
Match details. Scottish Cup, Round of 128. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Boness United have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L L. Forfar Athletic FC have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L W.
The numbers. Boness United score 1.3 and concede two a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Forfar Athletic FC score one and concede 2.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Forfar Athletic FC average 0.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 38% against the records' 62%.
The read. No firm call: Boness United are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Boness United are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Boness United. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 72%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Boness United Over 1.5 goals (Boness United's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Boness United 2-1 Forfar Athletic FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).