Match details. 2. Liga. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 17:30 Lagos time.
Form. Kapfenberger SV have won two, drawn none and lost eight of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L. SKN St Polten have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W L.
The numbers. Kapfenberger SV score 0.8 and concede two a game in their last six at home, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. Kapfenberger SV average 10.9 shots (3.9 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.6 cards a game. SKN St Polten score 0.7 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and six games without a goal. SKN St Polten average 12.6 shots (4.3 on target), 7.6 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
The case against. Kapfenberger SV's record still gives them 38% to win.
The read. SKN St Polten to win. A tight game. SKN St Polten are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour SKN St Polten. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 9.5 Corners (the signs point different ways); SKN St Polten Over 0.5 Goals (SKN St Polten's own games don't back it (4 of 9)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Kapfenberger SV 0-1 SKN St Polten (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).