Match details. National League, Regular Season - 15. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 20:45 Lagos time. It is played at Mill Farm, Wesham.
What's at stake. AFC Fylde are 7th on 23 points after 14 games, 2 points behind Yeovil Town, 2 points clear of FC Halifax Town. A win would take them above Yeovil Town. Hartlepool United are 19th on 15 points after 14 games, level on points with Wealdstone, 1 point clear of Tamworth. A win would take them above Wealdstone.
Form. AFC Fylde have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L L. Hartlepool United have won two, drawn none and lost eight of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W L.
The numbers. AFC Fylde score two and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. AFC Fylde average 4.6 corners and 1.7 cards a game. Hartlepool United score one and concede two a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. Hartlepool United average 4.8 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings AFC Fylde have won five, drawn two and lost two. Seven of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, AFC Fylde won two and Hartlepool United won two. The last time they met, on 4 Mar 2025, it finished AFC Fylde 2-1 Hartlepool United.
The case against. Hartlepool United's record still gives them 34% to win.
The read. AFC Fylde to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make AFC Fylde the likelier winners; AFC Fylde are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AFC Fylde. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 69%. Seven of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: AFC Fylde or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); AFC Fylde or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Hartlepool United Under 1.5 goals (AFC Fylde's own games don't back it (4 of 9)). Predicted score: AFC Fylde 2-1 Hartlepool United (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).