Montpellier vs Red Star FC
Match details. Ligue 2, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Mon 26 Oct, 20:45 Lagos time. It is played at Stade de la Mosson, Montpellier. The referee is Pierre Gaillouste.
What's at stake. Montpellier are 3rd on 18 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Nancy, 1 point clear of Reims. A win would take them above Nancy. Red Star FC are 6th on 17 points after 9 games, level on points with PAU, 1 point clear of Annecy. A win would take them above PAU.
Form. Montpellier have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W L. Red Star FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W W.
The numbers. Montpellier score 1.2 and concede 0.6 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets. Montpellier average 12.1 shots (5.4 on target), 5.6 corners and 2.3 cards a game, with 58% of the ball. Red Star FC score two and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Red Star FC average 14.5 shots (5.5 on target), 6.1 corners and 3.0 cards a game, with 55% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last two meetings Montpellier have won none, drawn two and lost none. None of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 9 May 2026, it finished Montpellier 1-1 Red Star FC: Montpellier had 8 shots to 17, 51% of the ball, two yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Montpellier the likelier winners, but both teams' records favour Red Star FC.
The case against. Red Star FC's record still gives them 47% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%.
The read. Montpellier or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make Montpellier the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Red Star FC.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Montpellier 2-1 Red Star FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).