AEK Larnaca vs AC Omonia Nicosia
Match details. 1st Division, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Mon 26 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time. It is played at AEK Arena, Larnaca. The referee is Menelaos Antoniou.
What's at stake. AEK Larnaca are 2nd on 13 points after 6 games, 2 points behind AEL, 1 point clear of Omonia Nicosia. A win would take them above AEL. AC Omonia Nicosia are 3rd on 12 points after 6 games, 1 point behind AEK Larnaca, level on points with Apollon Limassol. A win would take them above AEK Larnaca.
Form. AEK Larnaca have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W L. AC Omonia Nicosia have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W W.
The numbers. AEK Larnaca score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. AEK Larnaca average 11.0 shots (5.1 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.9 cards a game. AC Omonia Nicosia score 1.8 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and three games without a goal. AC Omonia Nicosia average 15.2 shots (6.7 on target), 8.5 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings AEK Larnaca have won one, drawn five and lost four. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, two were drawn and AC Omonia Nicosia won two. The last time they met, on 10 May 2026, it finished AEK Larnaca 1-1 AC Omonia Nicosia: AEK Larnaca had 5 shots to 24, 44% of the ball, six yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: AEK Larnaca are the stronger side on form and the table, but the meetings favour AC Omonia Nicosia. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%; seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. AEK Larnaca's record still gives them 31% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.
The read. AC Omonia Nicosia or the draw. A draw is live. A tight game. AEK Larnaca are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour AC Omonia Nicosia. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.38, 72% on the records (AEK Larnaca: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 7; AC Omonia Nicosia: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 6). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.21. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: AEK Larnaca 1-1 AC Omonia Nicosia (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).