Match details. Australian Championship, Group Stage - 2. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 05:00 Lagos time. It is played at Sydney Olympic Park Athletic Centre.
What's at stake. Sydney Olympic FC are 4th on 0 points after 1 game. Bayswater City are 2nd on 3 points after 1 game.
Form. Sydney Olympic FC have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L W. In this competition Sydney Olympic FC have gone L. Bayswater City have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. In this competition Bayswater City have gone W.
The numbers. Sydney Olympic FC score one and concede two a game in their last six at home, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Sydney Olympic FC average 10.5 shots (4.7 on target), 4.2 corners and 1.1 cards a game. Bayswater City score three and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Bayswater City average 13.8 shots (8.2 on target), 5.4 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 33% against the records' 67%.
The read. No firm call: Bayswater City are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Bayswater City the likelier winners; Bayswater City are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Bayswater City. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Sydney Olympic FC 1-2 Bayswater City (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).