Match details. J3 League. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 06:00 Lagos time.
Form. Matsumoto Yamaga FC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W L. Renofa Yamaguchi have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W D.
The numbers. Matsumoto Yamaga FC score 1.1 and concede 1.1 a game in their last seven at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Matsumoto Yamaga FC average 6.5 corners and 0.9 cards a game. Renofa Yamaguchi score 1.8 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. Renofa Yamaguchi average 4.9 corners and 1.1 cards a game.
The case against. Matsumoto Yamaga FC's record still gives them 30% to win.
The read. Renofa Yamaguchi to win. A tight game. Renofa Yamaguchi are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Renofa Yamaguchi. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Matsumoto Yamaga FC 0-1 Renofa Yamaguchi (9% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Renofa Yamaguchi or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.35
MAT 4 of 5 (80%) · REN 6 of 7 (86%)84.7%
Renofa Yamaguchi: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · Matsumoto Yamaga FC: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · Renofa Yamaguchi: only games against sides at Matsumoto Yamaga FC's level · Matsumoto Yamaga FC: only games against sides at Renofa Yamaguchi's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MAT 7 of 7 (100%) · REN 5 of 5 (100%)96%
Matsumoto Yamaga FC: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Renofa Yamaguchi: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · Matsumoto Yamaga FC: only games against sides at Renofa Yamaguchi's level · Renofa Yamaguchi: only games against sides at Matsumoto Yamaga FC's level
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.12
MAT 7 of 7 (100%) · REN 5 of 5 (100%)89.8%
Matsumoto Yamaga FC: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Renofa Yamaguchi: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · Matsumoto Yamaga FC: only games against sides at Renofa Yamaguchi's level · Renofa Yamaguchi: only games against sides at Matsumoto Yamaga FC's level
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.96
MAT 4 of 7 (57%) · REN 2 of 5 (40%)52.4%
Matsumoto Yamaga FC: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Renofa Yamaguchi: under 2.5 goals in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 56% · Matsumoto Yamaga FC: only games against sides at Renofa Yamaguchi's level · Renofa Yamaguchi: only games against sides at Matsumoto Yamaga FC's level
MATSUMOTO YAMAGA FC GOALS
Matsumoto Yamaga FC Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.56
MAT 5 of 7 (71%) · REN 4 of 5 (80%)68.2%
Matsumoto Yamaga FC scored under 1.5 in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Renofa Yamaguchi conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · Matsumoto Yamaga FC: only games against sides at Renofa Yamaguchi's level · Renofa Yamaguchi: only games against sides at Matsumoto Yamaga FC's level
RENOFA YAMAGUCHI GOALS
Renofa Yamaguchi Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.27
MAT 5 of 5 (100%) · REN 4 of 7 (57%)75.9%
Renofa Yamaguchi scored in 5 of 5 away · Matsumoto Yamaga FC conceded in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · Renofa Yamaguchi: only games against sides at Matsumoto Yamaga FC's level · Matsumoto Yamaga FC: only games against sides at Renofa Yamaguchi's level
Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–19.2%
Matsumoto Yamaga FC goals →
Renofa Yamaguchi goals ↓
0-08%
1-09%
2-06%
3-03%
4-00.8%
5-00.2%
0-19%
1-113%
2-18%
3-13%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-26%
1-28%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.7%
5-20.2%
0-33%
1-34%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.9%
1-41%
2-40.7%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
MATSUMOTO YAMAGA FCWLLWLWWDLD1.40 PPG
RENOFA YAMAGUCHILWWWDWWWLD2.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
MATSUMOTO YAMAGA FC HOMExRENOFA YAMAGUCHI AWAY
1.00SCORED A GAME1.421.08CONCEDED A GAME0.7540%BOTH SCORED30%40%CLEAN SHEETS60%6.50CORNERS A GAME4.920.92CARDS A GAME1.08
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
DRAW OR RENOFA YAMAGUCHI (1UP)
–
137 OF 146
NO PRICE YET
The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.17POINTS A GAME1.92-0.08GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.67+1.3SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+3.11.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.012LEAGUE GAMES12
Renofa Yamaguchi: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
56%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
35%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
98%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
MATSUMOTO YAMAGA FC OR DRAW
44%
NO · 80/85
RENOFA YAMAGUCHI OR DRAW
67%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (12 and 12 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
MATSUMOTO YAMAGA FCxRENOFA YAMAGUCHI
7GAMES71.14SCORED A GAME1.431.29CONCEDED A GAME1.002.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.457%OVER 1.5 GOALS71%43%OVER 2.5 GOALS57%43%BOTH SCORE43%1.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.412.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.2
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Matsumoto Yamaga FC have scored in 70% of their games.
Renofa Yamaguchi have scored in 80% of their games.
Matsumoto Yamaga FC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Renofa Yamaguchi kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards