RKROA

05:00Sun 25 Oct

FCG

Roasso Kumamoto vs FC Gifu

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. J3 League. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 05:00 Lagos time.

Form. Roasso Kumamoto have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D L. FC Gifu have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L L.

The numbers. Roasso Kumamoto score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Roasso Kumamoto average 5.0 corners and 0.7 cards a game. FC Gifu score one and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. FC Gifu average 6.2 corners and 1.4 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Roasso Kumamoto the likelier winners, but FC Gifu are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Roasso Kumamoto.

The case against. Roasso Kumamoto's record still gives them 50% to win.

The read. FC Gifu to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Roasso Kumamoto the likelier winners; FC Gifu are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Roasso Kumamoto. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (FC Gifu are a clear winner, no Unders); FC Gifu or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); FC Gifu or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Roasso Kumamoto 0-1 FC Gifu (8% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

FC Gifu or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.39

ROA 7 of 8 (88%) · FCG 4 of 8 (50%)72.7%

FC Gifu: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Roasso Kumamoto: the bet landed in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · FC Gifu: only games against sides at Roasso Kumamoto's level · Roasso Kumamoto: only games against sides at FC Gifu's level

FC Gifu or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY

1.39

ROA 4 of 5 (80%) · FCG 4 of 8 (50%)60%

FC Gifu scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Roasso Kumamoto trailed or failed to win in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · FC Gifu: only games against sides at Roasso Kumamoto's level · Roasso Kumamoto: only games against sides at FC Gifu's level

FC Gifu (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY

2.15

ROA 4 of 8 (50%) · FCG 1 of 5 (20%)51.9%

FC Gifu won 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Roasso Kumamoto lost 1 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 35% · FC Gifu: only games against sides at Roasso Kumamoto's level · Roasso Kumamoto: only games against sides at FC Gifu's level · won 4, refunded 2, lost 4

ROASSO KUMAMOTO GOALS

Roasso Kumamoto Over 0.5 goalsLEANIN CODES

1.30

ROA 5 of 8 (62%) · FCG 6 of 8 (75%)67.6%

Roasso Kumamoto scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · FC Gifu conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · Roasso Kumamoto: only games against sides at FC Gifu's level · FC Gifu: only games against sides at Roasso Kumamoto's level

Left off the list: Under 3.5 Goals (FC Gifu are a clear winner - no Unders); FC Gifu or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); FC Gifu or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Roasso Kumamoto Under 1.5 goals (Roasso Kumamoto's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (FC Gifu are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (FC Gifu are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 7.6%

Roasso Kumamoto goals →

FC Gifu goals ↓

0-09%

1-011%

2-09%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.5%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-24%

1-26%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.9%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.8%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.4%

1-40.6%

2-40.4%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

ROASSO KUMAMOTOWWLDLWDWDW1.80 PPG

FC GIFUWWWLLWLLLD1.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

ROASSO KUMAMOTO HOMExFC GIFU AWAY

1.08SCORED A GAME1.920.50CONCEDED A GAME0.9260%CLEAN SHEETS30%5.00CORNERS A GAME6.170.67CARDS A GAME1.42

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

DRAW OR FC GIFU (1UP)

–

137 OF 146

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.55POINTS A GAME1.83+0.55GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.00+2.1SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.41.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.411LEAGUE GAMES12

FC Gifu: the quality side - better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

47%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

37%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

94%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

ROASSO KUMAMOTO OR DRAW

56%

NO · 80/85

FC GIFU OR DRAW

78%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 12 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

ROASSO KUMAMOTOxFC GIFU

6GAMES60.83SCORED A GAME1.500.83CONCEDED A GAME1.001.7GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.550%OVER 1.5 GOALS50%33%OVER 2.5 GOALS50%17%BOTH SCORE33%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Roasso Kumamoto have scored in 60% of their games.

FC Gifu have scored in 60% of their games.

Roasso Kumamoto kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.

FC Gifu kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards