EKEST

14:30Sun 25 Oct

SHA

Esteghlal Khuzestan FC vs Shams Azar Qazvin

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Pro League, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time. It is played at Ghadir Stadium, Ahvaz.

What's at stake. Esteghlal Khuzestan FC are 17th on 6 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Sanat Naft, 1 point clear of Mes Shahr-e Babak. A win would take them above Sanat Naft. Shams Azar Qazvin are 15th on 7 points after 9 games, 1 point behind ZOB Ahan, level on points with Sanat Naft. A win would take them above ZOB Ahan.

Form. Esteghlal Khuzestan FC have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L D. Shams Azar Qazvin have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L L D.

The numbers. Esteghlal Khuzestan FC score 0.6 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Esteghlal Khuzestan FC average 0.0 cards a game. Shams Azar Qazvin score 0.7 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and five games without a goal. Shams Azar Qazvin average 1.6 shots (1.2 on target), 0.8 corners and 0.2 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last nine meetings Esteghlal Khuzestan FC have won two, drawn five and lost two. Three of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Esteghlal Khuzestan FC won one and three were drawn. The last time they met, on 18 Jan 2026, it finished Esteghlal Khuzestan FC 0-0 Shams Azar Qazvin.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 27%. Six of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Esteghlal Khuzestan FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Shams Azar Qazvin or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Esteghlal Khuzestan FC 1-1 Shams Azar Qazvin (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

EST 10 of 10 (100%) · SHA 10 of 10 (100%)96.6%

Esteghlal Khuzestan FC: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Shams Azar Qazvin: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 6 of 6 · Esteghlal Khuzestan FC: only games against sides at Shams Azar Qazvin's level · Shams Azar Qazvin: only games against sides at Esteghlal Khuzestan FC's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

EST 9 of 10 (90%) · SHA 9 of 10 (90%)90.9%

Esteghlal Khuzestan FC: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Shams Azar Qazvin: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 6 of 6 · Esteghlal Khuzestan FC: only games against sides at Shams Azar Qazvin's level · Shams Azar Qazvin: only games against sides at Esteghlal Khuzestan FC's level

Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

EST 8 of 10 (80%) · SHA 9 of 10 (90%)79.5%

Esteghlal Khuzestan FC: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Shams Azar Qazvin: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 5 of 6 · Esteghlal Khuzestan FC: only games against sides at Shams Azar Qazvin's level · Shams Azar Qazvin: only games against sides at Esteghlal Khuzestan FC's level

Under 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 75%

1.33

EST 6 of 10 (60%) · SHA 8 of 10 (80%)54.7%

Esteghlal Khuzestan FC: under 2.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Shams Azar Qazvin: under 2.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · H2H 5 of 6 · Esteghlal Khuzestan FC: only games against sides at Shams Azar Qazvin's level · Shams Azar Qazvin: only games against sides at Esteghlal Khuzestan FC's level

HALVES

1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

EST 10 of 10 (100%) · SHA 9 of 10 (90%)96.3%

Esteghlal Khuzestan FC: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Shams Azar Qazvin: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores · Esteghlal Khuzestan FC: only games against sides at Shams Azar Qazvin's level · Shams Azar Qazvin: only games against sides at Esteghlal Khuzestan FC's level

1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

EST 7 of 10 (70%) · SHA 7 of 10 (70%)73.3%

Esteghlal Khuzestan FC: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Shams Azar Qazvin: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Esteghlal Khuzestan FC: only games against sides at Shams Azar Qazvin's level · Shams Azar Qazvin: only games against sides at Esteghlal Khuzestan FC's level

Left off the list: Esteghlal Khuzestan FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Shams Azar Qazvin or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.6%

Esteghlal Khuzestan FC goals →

Shams Azar Qazvin goals ↓

0-09%

1-011%

2-08%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-19%

1-114%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.8%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.6%

1-40.8%

2-40.5%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

ESTEGHLAL KHUZESTAN FCLLLDDDLWLL0.60 PPG

SHAMS AZAR QAZVINLLDLWDLLDD0.70 PPG

THE NUMBERS

ESTEGHLAL KHUZESTAN FC HOMExSHAMS AZAR QAZVIN AWAY

0.60SCORED A GAME0.701.70CONCEDED A GAME1.2020%CLEAN SHEETS30%44%FAILED TO SCORE44%0.00CORNERS A GAME0.800.00CARDS A GAME0.20

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO

–

138 OF 151

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

0.67POINTS A GAME0.89-1.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.22–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–0.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.69LEAGUE GAMES9

Shams Azar Qazvin: the quality side - a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

68%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

27%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

83%

NO · 85/90

ESTEGHLAL KHUZESTAN FC OR DRAW

75%

NO · 80/85

SHAMS AZAR QAZVIN OR DRAW

74%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

ESTEGHLAL KHUZESTAN FCxSHAMS AZAR QAZVIN

5GAMES50.60SCORED A GAME0.601.40CONCEDED A GAME1.002.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.660%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%40%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 9

ESTEGHLAL KHUZESTAN FC 2 · 22%DRAW 5SHAMS AZAR QAZVIN 2 · 22%

5 of 9BOTH TEAMS SCORED

5 of 9OVER 1.5 GOALS

3 of 9OVER 2.5 GOALS

1 of 9OVER 3.5 GOALS

2022-02-26Esteghlal Khuzestan FC 0 – 1 Shams Azar Qazvin

2022-10-31Esteghlal Khuzestan FC 1 – 2 Shams Azar Qazvin

2023-04-05Esteghlal Khuzestan FC 2 – 1 Shams Azar Qazvin

2023-08-09Esteghlal Khuzestan FC 1 – 1 Shams Azar Qazvin

2024-02-15Esteghlal Khuzestan FC 0 – 0 Shams Azar Qazvin

2024-09-13Esteghlal Khuzestan FC 2 – 2 Shams Azar Qazvin

2025-02-06Esteghlal Khuzestan FC 1 – 0 Shams Azar Qazvin

2025-08-19Esteghlal Khuzestan FC 1 – 1 Shams Azar Qazvin

TRENDS

Esteghlal Khuzestan FC have scored in 60% of their games.

Shams Azar Qazvin have scored in 50% of their games.

Esteghlal Khuzestan FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Shams Azar Qazvin kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards