Match details. III Liga, Group 3. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.
Form. Odra Bytom Odrzanski have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L W W. KS Stal Brzeg have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L L W.
The numbers. Odra Bytom Odrzanski score one and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Odra Bytom Odrzanski average 5.9 corners and 2.4 cards a game. KS Stal Brzeg score 1.2 and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. KS Stal Brzeg average 6.0 corners and 1.3 cards a game.
The case against. KS Stal Brzeg's record still gives them 22% to win.
The read. Odra Bytom Odrzanski to win. A tight game. Odra Bytom Odrzanski are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Odra Bytom Odrzanski. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 28%.
The bets. Best bet: Odra Bytom Odrzanski or Draw at 1.20, 78% on the records (Odra Bytom Odrzanski unbeaten in 3 of 5 at home; KS Stal Brzeg failed to win 5 of 5 away). Backup: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.48. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Odra Bytom Odrzanski or Under 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Odra Bytom Odrzanski or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Odra Bytom Odrzanski or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Odra Bytom Odrzanski 1-0 KS Stal Brzeg (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).