Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 11. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. Inter Ibiza CD have won one, drawn one and lost eight of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L L. CD Binissalem have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L L.
The numbers. Inter Ibiza CD score 0.8 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. CD Binissalem score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. CD Binissalem average 8.6 shots (3.4 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.
The case against. Inter Ibiza CD's record still gives them 30% to win.
The read. CD Binissalem to win. CD Binissalem are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Binissalem.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or CD Binissalem at 1.30, 70% on the records (CD Binissalem unbeaten in 3 of 5 away; Inter Ibiza CD failed to win 4 of 5 at home). Leave: CD Binissalem to Win (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Inter Ibiza CD 0-1 CD Binissalem (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).