CD Constancia vs PE Sant Jordi
Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 11. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. CD Constancia have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W L. PE Sant Jordi have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L D W.
The numbers. CD Constancia score two and concede 0.2 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets. CD Constancia average 7.5 shots (4.8 on target), 2.8 corners and 2.2 cards a game. PE Sant Jordi score 1.8 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets.
The case against. PE Sant Jordi's record still gives them 30% to win.
The read. CD Constancia to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make CD Constancia the likelier winners; CD Constancia are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Constancia. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.23, 78% on the records (CD Constancia: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; PE Sant Jordi: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: CD Constancia 2-1 PE Sant Jordi (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).