HPSHPS

15:00Sat 24 Oct

IFG

HPS vs IF Gnistan

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Kansallinen Liiga, Women. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

Form. HPS have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D W. IF Gnistan have won none, drawn none and lost one of their last one league game, 0.0 points a game. Their last one in the league, newest first: L.

The numbers. HPS score 1.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. HPS average 5.7 corners and 1.1 cards a game. IF Gnistan score none and concede one a game over their last one, with no clean sheets. IF Gnistan average 3.8 corners and 1.8 cards a game.

The read. HPS to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make HPS the likelier winners; HPS are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour HPS. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 73%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: HPS 2-1 IF Gnistan (9% chance).

The agreed story. HPS or the draw, an open game.

Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

HPS or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

HPS 8 of 9 (89%) · IFG 10 of 10 (100%)87.1%

HPS: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · IF Gnistan: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · HPS: only games against sides at IF Gnistan's level · IF Gnistan: only games against sides at HPS's level

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

HPS 8 of 9 (89%) · IFG 10 of 10 (100%)94.4%

HPS: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · IF Gnistan: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · HPS: only games against sides at IF Gnistan's level · IF Gnistan: only games against sides at HPS's level

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

HPS 6 of 9 (67%) · IFG 9 of 10 (90%)79.3%

HPS: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · IF Gnistan: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · HPS: only games against sides at IF Gnistan's level · IF Gnistan: only games against sides at HPS's level

Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

HPS 6 of 9 (67%) · IFG 8 of 10 (80%)74.3%

HPS: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · IF Gnistan: over 2.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · HPS: only games against sides at IF Gnistan's level · IF Gnistan: only games against sides at HPS's level

HPS GOALS

HPS Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

HPS 8 of 9 (89%) · IFG 10 of 10 (100%)94.4%

HPS scored in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · IF Gnistan conceded in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · HPS: only games against sides at IF Gnistan's level · IF Gnistan: only games against sides at HPS's level

Left off the list: IF Gnistan or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs HPS); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); IF Gnistan or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs HPS); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.3%

HPS goals →

IF Gnistan goals ↓

0-03%

1-07%

2-09%

3-08%

4-05%

5-03%

0-12%

1-18%

2-19%

3-18%

4-15%

5-13%

0-21%

1-24%

2-25%

3-24%

4-23%

5-21%

0-30.5%

1-31%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.8%

5-30.4%

0-40.1%

1-40.3%

2-40.4%

3-40.3%

4-40.2%

5-40.1%

0-50.0%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

HPSWWWDWDWDLW2.10 PPG

IF GNISTANLLLLLLLWLL0.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

HPS HOMExIF GNISTAN AWAY

1.65SCORED A GAME1.261.09CONCEDED A GAME2.6560%BOTH SCORED60%40%CLEAN SHEETS0%5.65CORNERS A GAME3.791.12CARDS A GAME1.84

TRENDS

HPS have scored in 90% of their games.

IF Gnistan have scored in 60% of their games.

HPS kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

IF Gnistan kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards