HHHJK

15:00Sat 24 Oct

TAM

HJK Helsinki vs Tampereen Ilves

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Kansallinen Liiga, Women. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

Form. HJK Helsinki have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W L. Tampereen Ilves have won one, drawn none and lost none of their last one league game, 3.0 points a game. Their last one in the league, newest first: W.

The numbers. HJK Helsinki score two and concede two a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. HJK Helsinki average 6.4 corners and 0.7 cards a game. Tampereen Ilves score two and concede one a game over their last one, with no clean sheets. Tampereen Ilves average 4.5 corners and 0.4 cards a game.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 84%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: HJK Helsinki 2-1 Tampereen Ilves (8% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (HJK Helsinki the favourite), an open game.

Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. HJK Helsinki in their last cup games: lost 0-1 at FC Inter Turku. Too few cup games to judge the side from.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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HJK 7 of 7 (100%) · TAM 5 of 5 (100%)97%

HJK Helsinki: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Tampereen Ilves: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · HJK Helsinki: only games against sides at Tampereen Ilves's level · Tampereen Ilves: only games against sides at HJK Helsinki's level

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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HJK 6 of 7 (86%) · TAM 4 of 5 (80%)89.5%

HJK Helsinki: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Tampereen Ilves: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 88% · HJK Helsinki: only games against sides at Tampereen Ilves's level · Tampereen Ilves: only games against sides at HJK Helsinki's level

Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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HJK 6 of 7 (86%) · TAM 4 of 5 (80%)82.9%

HJK Helsinki: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Tampereen Ilves: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 88% · HJK Helsinki: only games against sides at Tampereen Ilves's level · Tampereen Ilves: only games against sides at HJK Helsinki's level

HJK HELSINKI GOALS

HJK Helsinki Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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HJK 6 of 7 (86%) · TAM 4 of 5 (80%)84.5%

HJK Helsinki scored in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Tampereen Ilves conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 88% · HJK Helsinki: only games against sides at Tampereen Ilves's level · Tampereen Ilves: only games against sides at HJK Helsinki's level

TAMPEREEN ILVES GOALS

Tampereen Ilves Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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TAM 3 of 5 (60%) · HJK 6 of 7 (86%)74.5%

Tampereen Ilves scored in 3 of 5 away · HJK Helsinki conceded in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · Tampereen Ilves: only games against sides at HJK Helsinki's level · HJK Helsinki: only games against sides at Tampereen Ilves's level

Left off the list: HJK Helsinki or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Tampereen Ilves or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Tampereen Ilves or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); HJK Helsinki or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 8.5%

HJK Helsinki goals →

Tampereen Ilves goals ↓

0-04%

1-05%

2-05%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-15%

1-110%

2-18%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.7%

0-25%

1-28%

2-27%

3-24%

4-22%

5-20.6%

0-33%

1-34%

2-34%

3-32%

4-30.9%

5-30.3%

0-41%

1-42%

2-42%

3-40.9%

4-40.4%

5-40.1%

0-50.3%

1-50.6%

2-50.5%

3-50.3%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

HJK HELSINKILLLWLWWDWD1.40 PPG

TAMPEREEN ILVESLDWLLLLLLW0.70 PPG

THE NUMBERS

HJK HELSINKI HOMExTAMPEREEN ILVES AWAY

2.61SCORED A GAME1.701.04CONCEDED A GAME2.1360%BOTH SCORED60%10%CLEAN SHEETS10%6.41CORNERS A GAME4.460.71CARDS A GAME0.38

TRENDS

HJK Helsinki have scored in 70% of their games.

Tampereen Ilves have scored in 70% of their games.

HJK Helsinki kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

Tampereen Ilves kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards