Match details. U21 Premier League 2, Regular Season. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Kingsmeadow, London. The referee is M. Norton.
What's at stake. Chelsea U21 are 2nd on 12 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Tottenham Hotspur U21, level on points with Nottingham Forest U21. A win would take them above Tottenham Hotspur U21. Liverpool U21 are 4th on 10 points after 5 games, 2 points behind Nottingham Forest U21, level on points with Southampton U21. A win would take them above Nottingham Forest U21.
Form. Chelsea U21 have won four, drawn none and lost one of their last five, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W L. Liverpool U21 have won three, drawn one and lost one of their last five, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W D.
The numbers. Chelsea U21 score three and concede 1.8 a game over their last five, with no clean sheets. Liverpool U21 score 1.8 and concede 0.8 a game over their last five, with one clean sheet.
Head to head. In the last four meetings Chelsea U21 have won two, drawn one and lost one. Three of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 16 Feb 2025, it finished Chelsea U21 3-0 Liverpool U21.
The case against. Liverpool U21's record still gives them 38% to win.
The read. Chelsea U21 to win. An open game. Chelsea U21 are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Chelsea U21. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 71%. Three of the last four meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Chelsea U21 or Draw & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Chelsea U21 2-1 Liverpool U21 (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).