Blekitni Stargard vs Grom Nowy Staw
Match details. III Liga, Group 2. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
Form. Blekitni Stargard have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D D. Grom Nowy Staw have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W W.
The numbers. Blekitni Stargard score 2.6 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Blekitni Stargard average 5.9 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Grom Nowy Staw score two and concede 2.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Grom Nowy Staw average 4.8 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
The case against. Grom Nowy Staw's record still gives them 38% to win.
The read. Blekitni Stargard to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Blekitni Stargard the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Blekitni Stargard. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 80%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 2.5 Goals at 1.32, 80% on the records (Blekitni Stargard: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Grom Nowy Staw: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Leave: Grom Nowy Staw or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Blekitni Stargard); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Grom Nowy Staw or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs Blekitni Stargard). Predicted score: Blekitni Stargard 2-1 Grom Nowy Staw (7% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).