Match details. Championship. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
Form. Persiku Kudus have won none, drawn two and lost eight of their last ten, 0.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. Semen Padang FC have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W D.
The numbers. Persiku Kudus score 1.2 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Persiku Kudus average 9.0 shots (3.5 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.8 cards a game. Semen Padang FC score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Semen Padang FC average 8.2 shots (2.5 on target), 3.8 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 94% against the records' 50%.
The read. No firm call: Semen Padang FC are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Semen Padang FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Semen Padang FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Semen Padang FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Semen Padang FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Persiku Kudus 1-1 Semen Padang FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).