Match details. NB I, Women. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time.
Form. Diosgyori VTK Miskolc have won one, drawn none and lost nine of their last ten league games, 0.3 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W L L L L. Pecsi MFC have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten league games, 1.1 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D L L W W.
The numbers. Diosgyori VTK Miskolc score one and concede 3.8 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Diosgyori VTK Miskolc average 3.2 corners and 1.7 cards a game. Pecsi MFC score 0.8 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Pecsi MFC average 2.5 corners and 1.4 cards a game.
The case against. Diosgyori VTK Miskolc's record still gives them 30% to win.
The read. Pecsi MFC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Pecsi MFC the likelier winners; Pecsi MFC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Pecsi MFC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Pecsi MFC at 1.18, rated 70% (Pecsi MFC unbeaten in 3 of 5 away; Diosgyori VTK Miskolc failed to win 4 of 5 at home). Predicted score: Diosgyori VTK Miskolc 1-2 Pecsi MFC (9% chance).
The agreed story. Pecsi MFC or the draw, an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).