Match details. Bundesliga, Women. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time.
Form. FK Austria Wien have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W L. SCR Altach have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W W.
The numbers. FK Austria Wien score 2.5 and concede 0.5 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets. FK Austria Wien average 18.2 shots (7.3 on target), 8.3 corners and 1.3 cards a game. SCR Altach score 1.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. SCR Altach average 16.7 shots (8.3 on target), 4.3 corners and 0.3 cards a game.
The case against. FK Austria Wien's record still gives them 53% to win.
The read. SCR Altach or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make FK Austria Wien the likelier winners; FK Austria Wien are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FK Austria Wien. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 51%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: FK Austria Wien 2-2 SCR Altach (4% chance).
The agreed story. SCR Altach or the draw, an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. FK Austria Wien in their last cup games: won 6-0 at FCM Traiskirchen (2 divisions below). SCR Altach in their last cup games: won 7-0 v SK Bischofshofen. Too few cup games to judge the side from.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).