ADARA

12:00Sat 24 Oct

FCG

Aragvi Dusheti vs FC Gareji Sagarejo

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Erovnuli Liga 2. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time.

Form. Aragvi Dusheti have won four, drawn one and lost four of their last nine league games, 1.4 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W L W L L. FC Gareji Sagarejo have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten league games, 1.4 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W L L W L.

The numbers. Aragvi Dusheti score 1.3 and concede 1.6 a game over their last nine, with three clean sheets. Aragvi Dusheti average 4.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game. FC Gareji Sagarejo score 0.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. FC Gareji Sagarejo average 3.2 corners and 1.8 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: FC Gareji Sagarejo are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour Aragvi Dusheti.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Aragvi Dusheti 1-1 FC Gareji Sagarejo (13% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (FC Gareji Sagarejo the favourite), a tight game.

The league run. Aragvi Dusheti: up and down in the league (W L W L L). FC Gareji Sagarejo: up and down in the league (W L L W L).

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ARA 8 of 9 (89%) · FCG 4 of 5 (80%)95.8%

Aragvi Dusheti: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FC Gareji Sagarejo: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 84% · Aragvi Dusheti: only games against sides at FC Gareji Sagarejo's level · FC Gareji Sagarejo: only games against sides at Aragvi Dusheti's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ARA 7 of 9 (78%) · FCG 4 of 5 (80%)76.5%

Aragvi Dusheti: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FC Gareji Sagarejo: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 74% · Aragvi Dusheti: only games against sides at FC Gareji Sagarejo's level · FC Gareji Sagarejo: only games against sides at Aragvi Dusheti's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ARA 5 of 9 (56%) · FCG 2 of 5 (40%)36.3%

Aragvi Dusheti: both scored in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FC Gareji Sagarejo: both scored in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 58% · Aragvi Dusheti: only games against sides at FC Gareji Sagarejo's level · FC Gareji Sagarejo: only games against sides at Aragvi Dusheti's level

ARAGVI DUSHETI GOALS

Aragvi Dusheti Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ARA 8 of 9 (89%) · FCG 4 of 5 (80%)57.4%

Aragvi Dusheti scored in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FC Gareji Sagarejo conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 89% · Aragvi Dusheti: only games against sides at FC Gareji Sagarejo's level · FC Gareji Sagarejo: only games against sides at Aragvi Dusheti's level

Left off the list: FC Gareji Sagarejo or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); FC Gareji Sagarejo or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); FC Gareji Sagarejo or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); FC Gareji Sagarejo or Draw (1UP) (no result call); FC Gareji Sagarejo Over 0.5 Goals (FC Gareji Sagarejo's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); FC Gareji Sagarejo 1UP (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.1%

Aragvi Dusheti goals →

FC Gareji Sagarejo goals ↓

0-08%

1-09%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-25%

1-28%

2-25%

3-23%

4-20.9%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.7%

1-41.0%

2-40.7%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.2%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

ARAGVI DUSHETIWLWLLLDDWW1.40 PPG

FC GAREJI SAGAREJOWLLWLDWWLD1.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

ARAGVI DUSHETI HOMExFC GAREJI SAGAREJO AWAY

1.10SCORED A GAME1.281.41CONCEDED A GAME1.0350%BOTH SCORED60%40%CLEAN SHEETS10%4.04CORNERS A GAME3.212.00CARDS A GAME1.79

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.30POINTS A GAME1.40-0.40GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.50+2.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-5.01.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.210LEAGUE GAMES10

Aragvi Dusheti: the quality side - more shots than it allows.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

68%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

56%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

64%

NO · 85/90

ARAGVI DUSHETI OR DRAW

48%

NO · 80/85

FC GAREJI SAGAREJO OR DRAW

62%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

ARAGVI DUSHETIxFC GAREJI SAGAREJO

5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME0.602.60CONCEDED A GAME1.804.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.460%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Aragvi Dusheti have scored in 80% of their games.

FC Gareji Sagarejo have scored in 60% of their games.

Aragvi Dusheti kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

FC Gareji Sagarejo kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards