FK Izhevsk vs Rubin-2 Kazan
Match details. 2. Liga, Division B, Group 4. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time.
Form. FK Izhevsk have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W. Rubin-2 Kazan have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W D.
The numbers. FK Izhevsk score 1.5 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. FK Izhevsk average 3.9 corners and 3.0 cards a game. Rubin-2 Kazan score 1.8 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Rubin-2 Kazan average 4.0 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
The case against. Rubin-2 Kazan's record still gives them 31% to win.
The read. FK Izhevsk to win. An open game. FK Izhevsk are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FK Izhevsk. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 72%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: FK Izhevsk or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Rubin-2 Kazan Under 1.5 goals (Rubin-2 Kazan's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: FK Izhevsk 2-1 Rubin-2 Kazan (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).