Union Touarga vs Wydad AC
Match details. Botola Pro D1. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. Union Touarga have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W W. Wydad AC have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W L L.
The numbers. Union Touarga score 1.4 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Union Touarga average 9.7 shots (3.7 on target), 3.8 corners and 3.2 cards a game. Wydad AC score 0.7 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Wydad AC average 9.4 shots (3.6 on target), 4.8 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 29% against the records' 63%.
The read. No firm call: Union Touarga are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Union Touarga the likelier winners; Union Touarga are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Union Touarga. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.15, 88% on the records (Union Touarga: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Wydad AC: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10). Backup: 1st Half - GG/NG: No at 1.11. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Union Touarga 1-0 Wydad AC (15% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).