Match details. Botola Pro D1, Regular Season - 5. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Union Sportif Amal Tiznit are 11th on 4 points after 4 games, level on points with FAR Rabat, 1 point clear of Renaissance Berkane. A win would take them above FAR Rabat. CODM Meknes are 2nd on 7 points after 4 games, 2 points behind Kawkab Marrakech, level on points with Hassania Agadir. A win would take them above Kawkab Marrakech.
Form. Union Sportif Amal Tiznit have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L D. CODM Meknes have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W L.
The numbers. Union Sportif Amal Tiznit score 1.2 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Union Sportif Amal Tiznit average 6.7 shots (3.2 on target), 1.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game. CODM Meknes score 1.7 and concede 1.7 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. CODM Meknes average 8.0 shots (3.1 on target), 3.5 corners and 3.4 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%.
The case against. Union Sportif Amal Tiznit's record still gives them 32% to win.
The read. CODM Meknes to win. Their goals for and against make CODM Meknes the likelier winners; CODM Meknes are the stronger side on form and the table.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Union Sportif Amal Tiznit 1-2 CODM Meknes (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).