ASAS

21:30Fri 23 Oct

AD San Rafael vs AD Sesa

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Liga de Ascenso. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 21:30 Lagos time.

Form. AD San Rafael have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D L. AD Sesa have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W L.

The numbers. AD San Rafael score 1.4 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. AD San Rafael average 7.0 corners and 0.0 cards a game. AD Sesa score 2.7 and concede 3.7 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. AD Sesa average 6.2 corners and 2.6 cards a game.

The case against. AD Sesa's record still gives them 40% to win.

The read. AD San Rafael to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make AD San Rafael the likelier winners; both teams' records favour AD San Rafael. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: AD San Rafael 2-1 AD Sesa (7% chance).

The agreed story. AD San Rafael or the draw, an open game.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Double Chance: AD San Rafael or AD SesaIN CODES

1.22

AS 7 of 10 (70%) · AS 10 of 10 (100%)67%

AD San Rafael: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AD Sesa: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · AD San Rafael: only games against sides at AD Sesa's level · AD Sesa: only games against sides at AD San Rafael's level

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

AS 9 of 10 (90%) · AS 10 of 10 (100%)95%

AD San Rafael: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AD Sesa: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · AD San Rafael: only games against sides at AD Sesa's level · AD Sesa: only games against sides at AD San Rafael's level

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

AS 6 of 10 (60%) · AS 10 of 10 (100%)81%

AD San Rafael: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AD Sesa: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · AD San Rafael: only games against sides at AD Sesa's level · AD Sesa: only games against sides at AD San Rafael's level

AD SESA GOALS

AD Sesa Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

AS 8 of 10 (80%) · AS 7 of 10 (70%)57%

AD Sesa scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AD San Rafael conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · AD Sesa: only games against sides at AD San Rafael's level · AD San Rafael: only games against sides at AD Sesa's level

Left off the list: Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); AD Sesa or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs AD San Rafael)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 7%

AD San Rafael goals →

AD Sesa goals ↓

0-01%

1-02%

2-04%

3-03%

4-02%

5-01%

0-12%

1-15%

2-17%

3-16%

4-14%

5-12%

0-22%

1-25%

2-27%

3-26%

4-24%

5-22%

0-31%

1-33%

2-34%

3-34%

4-33%

5-31%

0-40.5%

1-41%

2-42%

3-42%

4-41%

5-40.6%

0-50.2%

1-50.5%

2-50.7%

3-50.7%

4-50.4%

5-50.2%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

AD SAN RAFAELDLLDLWLWDW1.20 PPG

AD SESAWWLWLLLWLL1.20 PPG

THE NUMBERS

AD SAN RAFAEL HOMExAD SESA AWAY

1.57SCORED A GAME2.641.50CONCEDED A GAME3.3640%BOTH SCORED70%30%CLEAN SHEETS10%7.00CORNERS A GAME6.200.00CARDS A GAME2.60

TRENDS

AD San Rafael have scored in 60% of their games.

AD Sesa have scored in 80% of their games.

AD San Rafael kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

AD Sesa kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards