Al-Horiyah vs Taliya SC
Match details. Premier League. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
Form. Al-Horiyah have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D L D. Taliya SC have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W L.
The numbers. Al-Horiyah score 0.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Al-Horiyah average 10.5 shots (0.7 on target), 4.7 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Taliya SC score 0.6 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal.
The read. Taliya SC to win. A tight game. Taliya SC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Taliya SC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 28%.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Taliya SC at 1.38, 82% on the records (Taliya SC unbeaten in 4 of 5 away; Al-Horiyah failed to win 4 of 5 at home). Backup: Under 2.5 Goals at 1.58. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Taliya SC Over 0.5 Goals (Taliya SC's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Al-Horiyah 0-1 Taliya SC (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).