SV 07 Elversberg vs Darmstadt
Match details. DFB Pokal, Round of 32. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 20:45 Lagos time. It is played at URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. SV 07 Elversberg have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D L. Darmstadt have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L W.
The numbers. SV 07 Elversberg score 1.9 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. SV 07 Elversberg average 10.9 shots (4.4 on target), 3.0 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 46% of the ball. Darmstadt score 0.6 and concede 2.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Darmstadt average 11.8 shots (3.4 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 43% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last six meetings SV 07 Elversberg have won two, drawn three and lost one. Four of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. In the last four, SV 07 Elversberg won two and two were drawn. The last time they met, on 25 Apr 2026, it finished SV 07 Elversberg 3-3 Darmstadt: SV 07 Elversberg had 17 shots to 13, 53% of the ball, four yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their xG points to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 75%; four of the last six meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Darmstadt's record still gives them 28% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their xG points to a tight game.
The read. SV 07 Elversberg to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make SV 07 Elversberg the likelier winners; both teams' records favour SV 07 Elversberg; the meetings favour SV 07 Elversberg. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 75%. Four of the last six meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: SV 07 Elversberg or Draw at 1.13, 72% on the records (SV 07 Elversberg unbeaten in 6 of 10; Darmstadt failed to win 4 of 5 away). Backup: SV 07 Elversberg or Over 2.5 Goals at 1.17. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (SV 07 Elversberg are a clear winner, no Unders); Darmstadt Under 1.5 goals (SV 07 Elversberg's own games don't back it (4 of 10)); SV 07 Elversberg Over 1.5 goals (SV 07 Elversberg's own games don't back it (5 of 10)). Predicted score: SV 07 Elversberg 2-1 Darmstadt (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).