Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Match details. DFB Pokal, Round of 32. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time. It is played at Volksparkstadion, Hamburger. The referee is Tobias Stieler.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Hamburger SV have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W L. In this competition Hamburger SV have gone W. Eintracht Frankfurt have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D W. In this competition Eintracht Frankfurt have gone W.
The numbers. Hamburger SV score 1.3 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Hamburger SV average 10.6 shots (3.6 on target), 3.4 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 40% of the ball. Eintracht Frankfurt score 3.2 and concede 2.3 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Eintracht Frankfurt average 13.7 shots (5.4 on target), 4.7 corners and 2.3 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Hamburger SV have won one, drawn four and lost five. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Hamburger SV won one, one was drawn and Eintracht Frankfurt won two. The last time they met, on 2 May 2026, it finished Hamburger SV 2-1 Eintracht Frankfurt: Hamburger SV had 9 shots to 8, 36% of the ball, seven yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Eintracht Frankfurt the likelier winners, but the meetings favour Hamburger SV.
The case against. Hamburger SV's record still gives them 41% to win. The meetings do not back them.
The read. Eintracht Frankfurt or the draw. A draw is live. An open game. Their goals for and against make Eintracht Frankfurt the likelier winners; the meetings favour Hamburger SV. Their xG points to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%. Six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Eintracht Frankfurt or draw and over 1.5 goals (the signs point different ways); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Hamburger SV 1-2 Eintracht Frankfurt (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).