Match details. 2. Liga, Division A. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time.
Form. FC Irtysh Omsk have won one, drawn none and lost nine of their last ten, 0.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W L. Dinamo Stavropol have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L L.
The numbers. FC Irtysh Omsk score 0.9 and concede 2.6 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. FC Irtysh Omsk average 5.3 corners and 2.6 cards a game. Dinamo Stavropol score 1.2 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Dinamo Stavropol average 4.1 corners and 2.9 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 33% against the records' 62%.
The read. No firm call: Dinamo Stavropol are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Dinamo Stavropol the likelier winners; Dinamo Stavropol are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Dinamo Stavropol. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: FC Irtysh Omsk 1-2 Dinamo Stavropol (10% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Dinamo Stavropol the favourite), an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).