Nassaji Mazandaran FC vs Fajr Sepasi FC
Match details. Pro League, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 14:15 Lagos time. It is played at Vatani Stadium.
What's at stake. Nassaji Mazandaran FC are 11th on 10 points after 9 games, 3 points behind Chadormalu SC, 1 point clear of Paykan. A win would take them level on points with Chadormalu SC. Fajr Sepasi FC are 9th on 13 points after 9 games, level on points with Gol Gohar, level on points with Chadormalu SC. A win would take them above Gol Gohar.
Form. Nassaji Mazandaran FC have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D W W. Fajr Sepasi FC have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L D.
The numbers. Nassaji Mazandaran FC score 0.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Nassaji Mazandaran FC average 0.0 cards a game. Fajr Sepasi FC score 0.8 and concede two a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Fajr Sepasi FC average 0.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last seven meetings Nassaji Mazandaran FC have won three, drawn three and lost one. One of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Nassaji Mazandaran FC won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 11 Jan 2023, it finished Nassaji Mazandaran FC 2-1 Fajr Sepasi FC.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Fajr Sepasi FC are the stronger side on form and the table, but the meetings favour Nassaji Mazandaran FC.
The case against. Fajr Sepasi FC's record still gives them 25% to win.
The read. Nassaji Mazandaran FC or the draw. A tight game. Fajr Sepasi FC are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Nassaji Mazandaran FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 18%. Six of the last seven meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Nassaji Mazandaran FC or Draw at 1.37, 72% on the records (Nassaji Mazandaran FC unbeaten in 6 of 9; Fajr Sepasi FC failed to win 4 of 5 away). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.38. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Nassaji Mazandaran FC 1-1 Fajr Sepasi FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).