Match details. Primera Divisio, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadi Nacional, Andorra la Vella, a neutral ground.
What's at stake. FC Penya d`Andorra are 7th on 5 points after 5 games, level on points with Esperança d'Andorra, level on points with Casa de Portugal. A win would take them above Esperança d'Andorra. CF Esperanca D Andorra are 6th on 5 points after 5 games, 2 points behind Ranger's, level on points with Penya Encarnada. A win would take them above Ranger's.
Form. FC Penya d`Andorra have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L D. CF Esperanca D Andorra have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L D.
The numbers. FC Penya d`Andorra score 0.8 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. FC Penya d`Andorra average 8.0 shots (2.2 on target), 2.8 corners and 3.4 cards a game. CF Esperanca D Andorra score 1.6 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. CF Esperanca D Andorra average 9.3 shots (4.6 on target), 2.3 corners and 5.6 cards a game.
Head to head. FC Penya d`Andorra have won all of the last nine meetings. Five of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, FC Penya d`Andorra won four. The last time they met, on 13 Apr 2026, it finished FC Penya d`Andorra 1-0 CF Esperanca D Andorra.
Where it pulls both ways. CF Esperanca D Andorra are the form side, but the meetings favour FC Penya d`Andorra: in the last nine meetings, FC Penya d`Andorra won nine. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%; five of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The read. No side to back. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: FC Penya d`Andorra 1-1 CF Esperanca D Andorra (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).