Match details. Ligue 2, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Wa Mostaganem are 10th on 6 points after 6 games, 1 point behind WA Tlemcen, level on points with Hussein Dey. A win would take them above WA Tlemcen. ES Mostaganem are 7th on 10 points after 6 games, level on points with Usm El Harrach, level on points with Sidi Benali. A win would take them above Usm El Harrach.
Form. Wa Mostaganem have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D W L. ES Mostaganem have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D W.
The numbers. Wa Mostaganem score one and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Wa Mostaganem average 7.2 shots (2.5 on target), 4.1 corners and 2.5 cards a game. ES Mostaganem score 1.2 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. ES Mostaganem average 9.7 shots (4.0 on target), 3.7 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
Head to head. ES Mostaganem have won all of the last two meetings. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 2 Mar 2024, it finished Wa Mostaganem 0-1 ES Mostaganem.
The case against. Wa Mostaganem's record still gives them 27% to win.
The read. ES Mostaganem to win. An open game. ES Mostaganem are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour ES Mostaganem. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.42, 73% on the records (Wa Mostaganem: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10; ES Mostaganem: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6). Backup: ES Mostaganem Over 0.5 Goals at 1.48. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Wa Mostaganem Under 1.5 goals (ES Mostaganem's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Wa Mostaganem 1-2 ES Mostaganem (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).