Match details. Ligue 2, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. ESM Kolea are 14th on 3 points after 5 games, level on points with RC Arba, 1 point clear of El Bayadh. A win would take them above RC Arba. GC Mascara are 3rd on 14 points after 6 games, level on points with RC Kouba, level on points with MC Saida. A win would take them above RC Kouba.
Form. ESM Kolea have won two, drawn none and lost eight of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W W. GC Mascara have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D D.
The numbers. ESM Kolea score 0.8 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. ESM Kolea average 7.2 shots (2.9 on target), 3.4 corners and 1.5 cards a game. GC Mascara score 1.3 and concede 0.5 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and two games without a goal. GC Mascara average 8.1 shots (3.0 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last six meetings ESM Kolea have won three, drawn two and lost one. One of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, ESM Kolea won two, one was drawn and GC Mascara won one. The last time they met, on 17 Feb 2026, it finished ESM Kolea 1-1 GC Mascara.
The case against. ESM Kolea's record still gives them 24% to win.
The read. GC Mascara to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make GC Mascara the likelier winners; GC Mascara are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour GC Mascara. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 34%. Five of the last six meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or GC Mascara at 1.35, 76% on the records (GC Mascara unbeaten in 9 of 10; ESM Kolea failed to win 4 of 5 at home). Backup: GC Mascara Over 0.5 Goals at 1.43. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (GC Mascara are a clear winner, no Unders); GC Mascara or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); GC Mascara or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: ESM Kolea 0-1 GC Mascara (15% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).