Match details. Ligue 2. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
Form. ASM Oran have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L W. Irb Sidi M Hamed Benali have won three, drawn one and lost two of their last six, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D L.
The numbers. ASM Oran score 1.5 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and five games without a goal. ASM Oran average 9.2 shots (4.4 on target), 5.5 corners and 1.9 cards a game. Irb Sidi M Hamed Benali score 1.7 and concede 1.7 a game over their last six, with one clean sheet. Irb Sidi M Hamed Benali average 9.8 shots (4.0 on target), 3.5 corners and 4.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make ASM Oran the likelier winners, but ASM Oran are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Irb Sidi M Hamed Benali.
The case against. Irb Sidi M Hamed Benali's record still gives them 45% to win.
The read. ASM Oran to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make ASM Oran the likelier winners; ASM Oran are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Irb Sidi M Hamed Benali. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: ASM Oran Over 0.5 Goals (ASM Oran's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (ASM Oran are a clear winner, no Unders); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: ASM Oran 1-0 Irb Sidi M Hamed Benali (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).