Tainan City vs Yangon United
Match details. AFC Challenge League, Group Stage. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Segiri, Samarinda.
Form. Tainan City have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L D W. In this competition Tainan City have gone L. Yangon United have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W W. In this competition Yangon United have gone L W.
The numbers. Tainan City score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Tainan City average 10.6 shots (6.4 on target), 6.5 corners and 2.8 cards a game. Yangon United score 2.8 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Yangon United average 11.6 shots (4.6 on target), 5.2 corners and 1.2 cards a game.
The case against. Tainan City's record still gives them 37% to win.
The read. Yangon United to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Yangon United the likelier winners; Yangon United are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Yangon United. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.26, 85% on the records (Tainan City: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Yangon United: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Leave: Yangon United or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Yangon United to Win (the signs point different ways); Yangon United Over 1.5 goals (Tainan City's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Tainan City 1-2 Yangon United (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).