Match details. J3 League. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 06:00 Lagos time.
Form. Thespa Gunma have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L L. Kamatamare Sanuki have won one, drawn one and lost eight of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L D L.
The numbers. Thespa Gunma score one and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Thespa Gunma average 4.2 corners and 1.2 cards a game. Kamatamare Sanuki score 1.2 and concede 2.3 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and five games without a goal. Kamatamare Sanuki average 4.8 corners and 1.2 cards a game.
The case against. Kamatamare Sanuki's record still gives them 33% to win.
The read. Thespa Gunma to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Thespa Gunma the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Thespa Gunma. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.23, 77% on the records (Thespa Gunma: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 9; Kamatamare Sanuki: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 9). Backup: Thespa Gunma or Kamatamare Sanuki at 1.28. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Kamatamare Sanuki or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Thespa Gunma); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Kamatamare Sanuki or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs Thespa Gunma). Predicted score: Thespa Gunma 2-1 Kamatamare Sanuki (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).