SC Escaldes vs CE Casa de Portugal
Match details. Primera Divisio, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 19:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadi Nacional, Andorra la Vella, a neutral ground.
What's at stake. SC Escaldes are 9th on 3 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Casa de Portugal, 2 points clear of Carroi. A win would take them above Casa de Portugal. CE Casa de Portugal are 8th on 4 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Penya Encarnada, 1 point clear of Sporting Escaldes. A win would take them above Penya Encarnada.
Form. SC Escaldes have won three, drawn none and lost seven of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L. CE Casa de Portugal have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L D.
The numbers. SC Escaldes score 1.3 and concede two a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. SC Escaldes average 11.7 shots (6.2 on target), 5.2 corners and 3.2 cards a game. CE Casa de Portugal score 2.1 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. CE Casa de Portugal average 10.8 shots (3.3 on target), 4.8 corners and 4.2 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 76% against the records' 53%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 69%.
The read. No firm call: CE Casa de Portugal are the better side, but not at this price. CE Casa de Portugal are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CE Casa de Portugal.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: CE Casa de Portugal or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: SC Escaldes 1-1 CE Casa de Portugal (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).