ADALD

17:45Sat 24 Oct

LUS

Al Duhail SC vs Lusail SC

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Stars League, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 17:45 Lagos time. It is played at Abdullah bin Khalifa Stadium, Doha.

What's at stake. Al Duhail SC are 4th on 12 points after 6 games, level on points with Al-Arabi SC, 3 points clear of Al Shamal. A win would take them above Al-Arabi SC. Lusail SC are 9th on 6 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Al Shahaniya, level on points with Al-Gharafa. A win would take them above Al Shahaniya.

Form. Al Duhail SC have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W D. Lusail SC have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W D.

The numbers. Al Duhail SC score two and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Al Duhail SC average 10.5 shots (4.8 on target), 5.5 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 54% of the ball. Lusail SC score one and concede one a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Lusail SC average 7.5 shots (3.0 on target), 3.1 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 46% of the ball.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 67% against the records' 42%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 33%.

The read. No firm call: Al Duhail SC are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make Al Duhail SC the likelier winners; Al Duhail SC are the stronger side on form and the table.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Al Duhail SC Over 0.5 Goals (Lusail SC's own games don't back it (3 of 6)). Predicted score: Al Duhail SC 2-0 Lusail SC (11% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ALD 6 of 6 (100%) · LUS 5 of 6 (83%)93.5%

Al Duhail SC: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Lusail SC: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · Al Duhail SC: only games against sides at Lusail SC's level · Lusail SC: only games against sides at Al Duhail SC's level

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ALD 6 of 6 (100%) · LUS 4 of 6 (67%)93.4%

Al Duhail SC: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Lusail SC: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Al Duhail SC: only games against sides at Lusail SC's level · Lusail SC: only games against sides at Al Duhail SC's level

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.26

ALD 5 of 6 (83%) · LUS 5 of 6 (83%)84.8%

Al Duhail SC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Lusail SC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Al Duhail SC: only games against sides at Lusail SC's level · Lusail SC: only games against sides at Al Duhail SC's level

LUSAIL SC GOALS

Lusail SC Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES

1.43

ALD 4 of 6 (67%) · LUS 5 of 6 (83%)78.4%

Lusail SC scored under 1.5 in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Al Duhail SC conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Lusail SC: only games against sides at Al Duhail SC's level · Al Duhail SC: only games against sides at Lusail SC's level

CARDS

Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ALD 5 of 6 (83%) · LUS 5 of 6 (83%)83.3%

Al Duhail SC's games: over 2.5 cards in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Lusail SC's games: over 2.5 cards in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Al Duhail SC: only games against sides at Lusail SC's level · Lusail SC: only games against sides at Al Duhail SC's level

Left off the list: Al Duhail SC Over 0.5 Goals (Lusail SC's own games don't back it (3 of 6))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–0 11.3%

Al Duhail SC goals →

Lusail SC goals ↓

0-07%

1-011%

2-011%

3-07%

4-04%

5-01%

0-15%

1-111%

2-110%

3-16%

4-13%

5-11%

0-22%

1-24%

2-24%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.5%

0-30.7%

1-31%

2-31%

3-30.8%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.1%

1-40.3%

2-40.3%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.0%

1-50.0%

2-50.0%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10

AL DUHAIL SCWLWDDDWWWW2.10 PPG

LUSAIL SCWLLDWDWDLD1.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

AL DUHAIL SC HOMExLUSAIL SC AWAY

2.20SCORED A GAME1.201.00CONCEDED A GAME0.8040%CLEAN SHEETS50%0%FAILED TO SCORE67%5.50CORNERS A GAME3.122.40CARDS A GAME2.25

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

2.00POINTS A GAME1.00+1.17GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.33+2.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.41.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.26LEAGUE GAMES6

Al Duhail SC: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

76%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

28%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

84%

NO · 85/90

AL DUHAIL SC OR DRAW

91%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

LUSAIL SC OR DRAW

58%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

AL DUHAIL SCxLUSAIL SC

5GAMES52.00SCORED A GAME1.401.00CONCEDED A GAME0.803.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.2100%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%80%BOTH SCORE20%5.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.412.2CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.2

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Al Duhail SC have scored in 100% of their games.

Lusail SC have scored in 60% of their games.

Al Duhail SC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

Lusail SC kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards